<![CDATA[Market DNA: Market DNA : Data News & Analysis]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/s/market-nda-news-data-and-analysishttps://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EDZN!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fyogeshnanda.substack.com%2Fimg%2Fsubstack.pngMarket DNA: Market DNA : Data News & Analysishttps://yogeshnanda.substack.com/s/market-nda-news-data-and-analysisSubstackTue, 05 May 2026 23:46:52 GMT<![CDATA[Market DNA Report 4th May 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-4th-may-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-4th-may-2026Mon, 04 May 2026 01:57:36 GMT

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Good Morning!

Today is counting day. With a record-breaking voter turnout in some phases, all eyes are on whether the incumbent TMC will retain power or if the BJP will make a significant historic breakthrough

President Trump has announced "Project Freedom," a U.S.-led effort starting today to guide merchant ships out of the Strait of Hormuz. This is a critical development because the strait is a major "chokepoint" for global oil supply.

In a major shift, Iran has indicated it is willing to include its nuclear program in talks with the United States.

after a strong recovery on thursday - The GIFT Nifty is indicating a gap up opening.

Final Take: The view remains defensive. While the Nifty and Sensex showed some recovery yesterday, some more recovery towards 24350 level possible but 24350 level remains major resistance. keep close watch on USDINR → any strength there might give more push to indices.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.31% Dow fut +0.17%, Nasdaq +0.89%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.14%, CAC +0.53%, Dax +1.39%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +170 pts

  • USDINR 94.88 [vs 94.82]

  • Brent Crude 106.18 [vs 110.98]

  • DXY 98.17 [vs 98.98]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Extended ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Iran has offered a new 14-point proposal to US to reach a permanent end to the war.

    • US President Donald Trump has announced a naval mission, to escort stranded ships out of the Strait of Hormuz.

    • Iran has dropped some of its previous conditions and agreed to include its nuclear program in talks with the United States - Sources

  • Ola Electric: The company reports 20% MOM growth in April and indicates signs of recovery in demand momentum.

  • Alkem Laboratories: The US FDA issues seven observations following an inspection at the Daman manufacturing unit.

  • Indoco Remedies: The company signs an agreement to transfer its ophthalmic business for Rs. 110 crore

  • Bharat Forge: Acquire a 30% stake in Fortuna Engineering for Rs. 130 crore

  • Panacea Biotec:Reports a fire at its oncology unit in Himachal Pradesh

  • MOIL: The company reduces prices of all manganese ore grades-chemical and ferro-by 4% across categories.

  • Orders update:

    • M&B Engineering: The company receives an order worth Rs. 72 crore

    • Siemens: The company receives an internal work allocation worth Rs. 1,825 cr

    • NCC: The company secures four orders worth Rs. 1,703 crore in April.

    • Ceigall India: The company's JV secures a Rs. 918 cr Jaipur Metro Phase‑II construction contract

  • Results :

    • ACC (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 11.5%, Net profit down 38.7%, EBITDA margin down 100 bps.

    • Kotak Mahindra Bank (Q4 Standalone YoY): NII up 8.1%, Net profit up 13.4%.

    • CDSL (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 17.1%, Net profit down 20%, EBITDA margin down 430 bps.

    • Netweb Technologies (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue down 4%, Net profit down 3.6%, EBIT margin up 30 bps

    • Adani Enterprises (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 20.3%

    • Indus Towers (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 4.8%, Net profit up 0.8%, EBITDA margin down 180 bps.

    • Aster DM Healthcare (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 18.2%, Net profit up 80.4%, EBITDA margin up 50 bps.

    • Equitas Small Finance Bank (Q4 Standalone YoY): NII up 18%, Net profit at Rs. 213 crore.

    • RailTel Corporation (Q4 Standalone YoY): Revenue up 27.6%, Net profit up 24.9%, EBITDA margin up 20 bps.

    • ideaForge Technology (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue at Rs. 141 crore, Net profit at Rs. 60 crore.

    • Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 21.3%, Net profit at Rs. 679 crore, EBITDA margin up 1030 bps.

    • NSDL (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 27.4%, Net profit up 0.6%, EBITDA margin down 720 bps.

    • Jindal Steel & Power (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 24.5%, Net profit at Rs. 1,045 crore, EBITDA margin up 560 bps.

    • APL Apollo Tubes (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 13.8%, Net profit up 21%, EBITDA margin up 65 bps.

    • Avenue Supermarts (Q4 YoY): Revenue up 19%, Net profit up 19.2%, EBITDA margin up 42 bps

    • Results Today : Bharat Heavy Electricals, Ambuja Cements, Aditya Birla Capital, Jindal Stainless, Godrej Properties, KEI Industries, Petronet LNG, Ather Energy, Exide Industries, Manappuram Finance, Tata Technologies, Wockhardt, Tata Chemicals, Aarti Industries, Computer Age Management Services, CSB Bank.

  • Stock in Ban : —

Indices Analysis

  • Strong recovery from key level 23800 and fall in crude - combined impact is positive

  • Now 24350 level remains crutial level to cross on upside.

  • Now nifty’s new range could be 23700 - 24500 .

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Strong above level for day 24090 - next resistance 24143,24245,24340

  • Weak below level for day 23930 - next support 23790,23665

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

Brent Crude:

Brent reaching major Resistance 114 level - if this level is crossed would result in a strong momentum move on upside - not good for markets.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : Kfintech, Waaree, Cams, TataTech

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : Higher call writing and put unwinding

Indication : Data indicating mild bearish bias. but with gap up 24000 call writers might be trapped - watch for some short covering

Call Resistance : 24500

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 88.5% [vs 80.72% last week]

FII = Short[added shorts], Pro = Short[added short] Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -8047cr [Apr Month Sell 70135 cr]

DIi +3487cr [Apr Month Buy 51063 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Meesho, Fluorochem

Breakdown Stocks : —

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 30th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-30th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-30th-apr-2026Thu, 30 Apr 2026 03:14:31 GMT

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Good Morning!

The overall sentiment for the Indian and global markets remains cautious. A combination of rising energy costs and geopolitical instability is keeping investors on the sidelines. While some domestic buying is providing support, the global "red flags" are hard to ignore.

  • The situation in the Middle East continues to be the biggest worry for investors. With the U.S. maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports and tensions showing no signs of cooling down,

  • Crude oil is the main "spoiler" for the markets right now. Brent crude has surged toward the $110 per barrel mark just $4 short of its old resistance

  • The U.S. Dollar Index has been hovering near its monthly lows (around 94.8 levels),

The GIFT Nifty is signaling a weak start for the Indian indices today. Most Asian markets, including the Nikkei, are trading in the red, following a soft close on Wall Street.

Final Take: The view remains defensive. While the Nifty and Sensex showed some recovery yesterday, they are likely to face pressure today. we also have sensex expiry today

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.57% Dow fut +0.10%, Nasdaq -0.04%

  • Europe: FTSE -1.17%, CAC -0.40%, Dax -0.27%

  • Asia: Negetive

  • Gift Nifty : -150 pts

  • USDINR 94.82 [vs 94.52]

  • Brent Crude 110.98 [vs 103.34]

  • DXY 98.98 [vs 98.65]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Extended ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Trump vows to maintain Iran blockade, Tehran threatens ‘practical’ action

  • Larsen & Toubro: The company will sell its entire stake in its arm, L&T Metro Rail Hyderabad, for Rs. 1,461 cr

  • Vedanta : ex date for Demerger

  • EPACK Prefab: The company commences commercial production at its manufacturing plant in Andhra Pradesh

  • Bajaj Finance: Inline Numbers, Bullish FY27 guidance

  • Results :

    • Adani Power (Q4 FY26 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 14.2%, Net profit up 62%, EBITDA margin down 76 bps

    • MAS Financial (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue (Total Income) up 24.2%, Net profit up 25%.

    • IIFL Finance (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue (Total Income) up 42.6%, Net profit up 182%

    • Schaeffler India (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue up 18.9%, Net profit up 25.6%, EBITDA margin up 40 bps

    • Bajaj Finance (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue (Total Income) up 18%, Net profit up 23%

    • Navin Fluorine (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue up 33.8%, Net profit up 124%, EBITDA margin up 880 bps.

    • Jana Small Finance Bank (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue (NII) up 26.5%, Net profit up 13.2%.

    • Motilal Oswal (Q4 FY26 Cons QoQ): Revenue (Total Income) up 27%, Net loss 221cr

    • Syngene International (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue up 1.8%, Net profit down 19.3%, EBITDA margin down 450 bps.

    • Fino Payments Bank (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue (NII) up 13%, Net profit down 70.4%.

    • KFin Technologies (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue down 6.4%, Net profit down 11.8%, EBITDA margin down 393 bps.

    • Waaree Energies (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue up 112%, Net profit up 71.4%, EBITDA margin down 440 bps.

    • Results Today : Hindustan Unilever, Adani Ports , Adani Enterprises, Bajaj Finserv, Cholamandalam , Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders, INDUS TOWERS, IDBI Bank, National Aluminium Company, Laurus Labs, Sona BLW , Aster DM Healthcare, Central Bank of India, ACC, Dr Lal PathLabs, R R Kabel, Capri Global Capital, Sundram Fasteners, National Securities Depository, KSB, HFCL, Edelweiss Financial Services, Railtel Corporation of India, Equitas Small Finance Bank, Newgen Software Technologies,

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Expect more weakness if market crosses below 23940 level.

  • all data bearish but still positive opening and strength at open resulted in short covering . Till we dont cross 24360 level be cuatious

  • Now nifty’s new range could be 23700 - 24500 . keep close watch on crude and currency for some cooling off else - rally might fizzle out

Sensex Intraday levels

  • Daily Nifty Candle - data - crude - USDINR —> all indicating a bearish bias

  • Strong above level for day 77680 - next resistance 77950,78170,

  • Weak below level for day 77405 - next support 77040,76705,76401

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

Brent Crude:

Brent reaching major Resistance 114 level - if this level is crossed would result in a strong momentum move on upside - not good for markets.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : NHPC, Nuvama, Indian Bank, Tata Tech, Dr reddy

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : Higher put writing and call unwinding

Indication : Data indicating mild bullish bias

Call Resistance : 78000

Put Support : 77000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 87.39% [vs 80.72% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Short[reduced short] Client = Long []

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -2468cr [Apr Month Sell 62087 cr]

DIi +2262cr [Apr Month Buy 47576 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Bandhan Bank, GRSE, RBL bank,VEDL

Breakdown Stocks : —

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 29th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-29th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-29th-apr-2026Wed, 29 Apr 2026 03:03:33 GMT

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Good Morning!

The Indian market is currently in a "wait and watch" mode. Yesterday, the Nifty faced some pressure but showed resilience by staying above a key psychological level.

Following Wall Street's decline, Asian markets opened on a mixed note on Wednesday. Oil staying at elevated level.

  • Support Level: Watch 24,000 on the Nifty. If it stays above this, buyers might come back.

  • Resistance Level: 24,300 will be hard to cross unless there is good news from the Trump-Iran peace talks.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.05% Dow fut +0.10%, Nasdaq -0.90%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.11%, CAC -0.47%, Dax -0.27%

  • Asia: Mixed

  • Gift Nifty : +20 pts

  • USDINR 94.52 [vs 94.17]

  • Brent Crude 103.34 [vs 102.20]

  • DXY 98.65 [vs 98.57]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Extended ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • US President Donald Trump says Iran is in a “state of collapse” and has asked Washington to lift its blockade

    • UAE announces exit from OPEC

  • Aviation: ATF prices surge - Airlines warn this could trigger shutdown risks if relief isn’t provided.

  • Dr Reddy In Focus : Approval In Canada for generic version of the brand name drug Ozempic

  • Eternal : CLSA includes Eternal to ‘high-conviction’ ideas after Q4 results

  • BHEL : said it has signed a Licensing Agreement for Transfer of Technology (LAToT) with DRDO lab

  • Results :

    • Bandhan Bank (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue (NII) up 1%, Net profit up 68%, NIM up 30 bps

    • Motherson Sumi Wiring (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue up 32.9%, Net profit up 1.4%, EBITDA margin down 260 bps.

    • Fedbank Financial Services (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue (Total Income) up 14.9%, Net profit up 40.3%

    • Go Digit General Insurance (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue (Total Income) up 9%, Net profit up 29.2%.

    • CEAT (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue up 23.3%, Net profit up 146.5%, EBITDA margin up 270 bps.

    • Star Health Insurance (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue (Net Premium Earned) up 13.9%, Net profit up 117647%.

    • Canara HSBC Life (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue (Net Premium Income) up 13.2%, Net profit up 8.2%.

    • Garden Reach Shipbuilders (Q4 FY26 YoY): Revenue up 29.1%, Net profit up 24.1%, EBITDA margin up 340 bps.

    • Piramal Pharma (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Revenue down 0.1%, Net loss versus profit, EBITDA margin down 370 bps.

    • Results Today : Bajaj Finance, Adani Power, Vedanta, Indian Bank, Waaree Energies, Federal Bank, IOB, Schaeffler India, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, MphasiS, Navin Fluorine International, Force Motors, IIFL Finance, Syngene International, Granules India, KFin Technologies, Sterlite Technologies, HEG, MOIL, Jana Small Finance Bank, Geojit Financial Services, Capital Small Finance Bank, Fino Payments Bank,

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Expect more weakness if market crosses below 23940 level.

  • Now nifty’s new range could be 23700 - 24500 . keep close watch on crude and currency for some cooling off else - rally might fizzle out

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Daily Nifty Candle - data - crude - USDINR —> all indicating a bearish bias

  • Strong above level for day 24090 - next resistance 24202,24290

  • Weak below level for day 23955 - next support 23895,23820,23705

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

Brent Crude:

Brent crude Gradually surging frim low 85 level - not good for markets.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: OIl, Crompton, Glenmakr

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : Higher call writing

Indication : Data indicating mild bullish bias

Call Resistance : 24500

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 86.92% [vs 80.72% last week]

FII = Short[added short], Pro = Short[added short] Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -2103cr [Apr Month Sell 59620 cr]

DIi +1712cr [Apr Month Buy 45314 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : RK Forge, RR Kabel

Breakdown Stocks : —

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  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 28th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-28th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-28th-apr-2026Tue, 28 Apr 2026 03:06:23 GMT

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Good Morning!

The Indian markets are expected to open on a weak note today. While the domestic sentiment was strong yesterday, global tensions and new banking rules are making investors cautious.

President Trump is currently reviewing a peace plan to end the conflict with Iran. Meanwhile, the UN and several countries are pushing hard for the Strait of Hormuz to be reopened.

The GIFT Nifty (our early indicator) is showing a drop of about 120 points.

The RBI has introduced new Expected Credit Loss (ECL) guidelines. Banks now have to set aside money for potential bad loans before they actually happen, rather than waiting for a default.

With the previous target of 23,800 practically achieved, the focus now shifts to a recovery. The “GIFT Nifty” is already showing signs of a positive start.

Today is a day of caution. We have a “clash” between good domestic earnings and bad global news.

  • Support Level: Watch 24,000 on the Nifty. If it stays above this, buyers might come back.

  • Resistance Level: 24,300 will be hard to cross unless there is good news from the Trump-Iran peace talks.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.13% Dow fut +0.09%, Nasdaq +0.20%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.56%, CAC -0.20%, Dax -0.19%

  • Asia: Mixed

  • Gift Nifty : -100 pts

  • USDINR 94.17 [vs 94.22]

  • Brent Crude 102.20 [vs 100.76]

  • DXY 98.57 [vs 98.48]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Extended ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • US national security team is reviewing an Iranian peace plan to halt the war, while postponing talks on its nuclear programme. Trump unhappy with Iranian proposal

    • Oil prices edge higher amid stalled US-Iran talks

  • Jubilant Food: Domino's Shares Slump 10% in US markets, Pizza Chain Operator Projects Weak Sales Growth

  • Indian Oil: The company reports hydrocarbon discovery in Libya block Fresh oil, gas found - IOC holds 25% stake

  • RailTel: The company receives a Letter of Acceptance worth Rs. 145 crore

  • Banks : India changes Bank-Loan provisioning Rules To Align With Global Norms (Sentimentally Negative For PSU Bank)

  • Results :

    • Nippon Life AMC (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Total Income up 19.6%, Net profit up 28.8%.

    • Bajaj Housing Finance (Q4 Standalone YoY): Total Income up 15.9%, Net profit up 14.1%.

    • Piramal Finance (Q4 YoY): Total Income up 56.5%, Net profit at Rs 603 cr vs Rs 64 cr, EBITDA margin at 28% vs 30.5%.

    • AU Small Finance Bank (Q4 YoY): NII up 23%, Net profit up 65.2%, EBITDA margin at 52.1% vs 53.7%.

    • City Union Bank (Q4 YoY): NII up 30.9%, Net profit up 24.9%, EBITDA margin at 74.1% vs 73.2%.

    • Jindal Saw (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue down 8.2%, Net profit down 52.1%, EBITDA margin at 10.4% vs 14.6%.

    • Rallis India (Q4 YoY): Revenue up 6%, Net loss at Rs 15 cr vs Rs 32 cr, EBITDA margin at ‑0.2% vs ‑4.6%.

    • Adani Total Gas (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 16.6%, Net profit up 8.9%, EBITDA margin at 17.8% vs 18.3%.

    • AGI Greenpac (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 17.2%, Net profit up 61.5%, EBITDA margin at 20.6% vs 23.7%.

    • SBI General Insurance (FY26): Gross Direct Premium up 14.5%, Net profit up 8.6%.

    • Coal India (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 5.8%, Net profit up 11.2%, EBITDA margin at 27.3% vs 27.1%.

    • Canara Robeco AMC (Q4 QoQ): Total Income down 14.5%, Net profit down 21.6%.

    • Results Today : Maruti Suzuki India, Eternal, REC, Dalmia Bharat, Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers, Star Health & Allied Insurance Company, Go Digit General Insurance, Bandhan Bank, Motherson Sumi Wiring India, Piramal Pharma, Emmvee Photovoltaic Power, Castrol India, Ceat, Canara HSBC Life Insurance Company, Mahindra Lifespace Developers,

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Now nifty’s new range could be 23700 - 24500 . expect some recovery but keep close watch on crude and currency for some cooling off else - rally might fizzle. out

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Data indicating mild bullish bias - with gap down market might open around highest put OI - lets see if 24000 put writers can protect the level.

  • Strong above level for day 24130 - next resistance 24171,24250,24320

  • Weak below level for day 24020 - next support 23940,23870,23815

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

As we can see in chart → capital market, Metal & defence well above old swing high but psu bank and auto still legging behind.

Brent Crude:

Brentcurde at same level since 4 days, getting ready for one big candle

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: HCL tech, Sun pharma

Short buildup : RBL Bank

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : Higher put writing and call unwinding

Indication : Data indicating mild bullish bias

Call Resistance : 24300-25000

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 80.52% [vs 80.72% last week]

FII = Short[reduced short], Pro = Short[reduced short] Client = Long [reduced longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -1151cr [Apr Month Sell 57515 cr]

DIi +4121cr [Apr Month Buy 43602 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Hind Zinc, Engineers, Taril, CESC

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

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  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

Thanks for reading Pre Market Report! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 27th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-27th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-27th-apr-2026Mon, 27 Apr 2026 02:52:56 GMT

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Good Morning!

The Indian markets closed on a weak note last Friday, marking the third day in a row of losses. The Nifty 50 fell by over 1%, finishing near the 23,898 mark. A sharp sell-off in big IT names like Infosys, TCS, and HCL Tech, along with pressure in the Pharma sector, kept the bulls away.

The biggest news over the weekend came from the Middle East, which could act as a major booster for global sentiment:

  • The Iran Deal: Iran has reportedly proposed a deal to the U.S. via mediators to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

  • Nuclear Talks: As part of this proposal, Iran is suggesting a delay in nuclear negotiations to focus on ending the current conflict.

With the previous target of 23,800 practically achieved, the focus now shifts to a recovery. The “GIFT Nifty” is already showing signs of a positive start.

  • The New Range: For the upcoming sessions, we expect the market to consolidate and trade within a new range of 23,600 to 24,500.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.16% Dow fut -0.09%, Nasdaq +1.63%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.75%, CAC -0.85%, Dax -0.11%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +200 pts

  • USDINR 94.22 [vs 94.08]

  • Brent Crude 100.76 [vs 100.23]

  • DXY 98.48 [vs 98.80]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Extended ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Israeli forces continue to bombard southern Lebanon despite a US-brokered ceasefire, killing at least 14 people.

    • Iran Offers Deal to Reopen Strait, Delay Nuke Talks. Iran Offers Us New Proposal To Reopen Strait

  • Sun Pharma : To acquire Organon for EV of $11.75 billion

  • PyTm: RBI Cancels Paytm Payments Bank Licence

  • City Union Bank: The bank has significantly expanded its footprint, opening a total of 9 new branches

  • Indian Hume Pipe Co: The company has received a Letter of Intent (LoI) for an order worth Rs 418 crore

  • IndusInd Bank: The bank reports the resignation of its Chief Compliance Officer

  • Lodha Developers : The company continues to deleverage its balance sheet, reducing its overall debt by Rs 800 cr

  • Block Deals:

    • ADF Foods: SBI FUNDS MANAGEMENT bought 9 lk shares @ Rs. 260

    • Pfizer: PRUDENTIAL ICICI MUTUAL FUND bought 4 lk shares at Rs. 4700

  • Results :

    • Reliance Industries (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 11.0%, Net profit down 9.0%.

    • IDFC First Bank (Q4 Standalone YoY): NII up 16%, Net profit up 5%.

    • SBFC Finance (Q4 FY26 YoY): NII up 30%, Net profit up 30%.

    • Axis Bank (Q4 Standalone YoY): NII up 4.7%, Net profit down 0.6%,

    • RBL Bank (Q4 YoY): NII up 6.9%, Net profit up 234%,

    • India Cement (Q4 FY26 Standalone YoY): Revenue up 2.6%, Net profit (swing to profit) at Rs 55 cr,

    • Can Fin Homes (Q4 FY26 Standalone YoY): NII up 21%, Net profit up 48.2%.

    • IndusInd Bank (Q4 YoY): NII up 43%, Net profit (swing to profit) at Rs 533 cr.

    • M&M Financial (Q4 Cons YoY): Total income up 13.5%, Net profit up 105.2%.

    • L&T Finance (Q4 Cons YoY): Total income up 18.5%, Net profit up 26.8%.

    • Lodha Developers / Macrotech (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 11.6%, Net profit up 9.4%.

    • Avantel (Q4 FY26 Cons YoY): Net profit down 20.5%, Revenue up 29.6%,

    • Results Today : UltraTech Cement, Coal India, Varun Beverages, AU Small Finance Bank, Bajaj Housing Finance, Adani Total Gas, SBI Cards & Payment Services, Phoenix Mills, Nippon Life India Asset Management, Supreme Industries, Piramal Finance, City Union Bank, Punjab and Sind Bank, Jindal Saw, Canara Robeco Asset Management Company, Rallis India, AGI Greenpac

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • “View on nifty remains cautious to bearish with rupee back to 94 and crude above 100 level. Seems nifty heading towards 23800 level” this was our view on friday and nifty almost achieved target of 23800.

  • Now nifty’s new range could be 23700 - 24500 . expect some recovery but keep close watch on crude and currency for some cooling off else - rally might fizzle. out

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Data indicating bearish bias but with gap opening that might trap bears.

  • Strong above level for day 24032 - next resistance 24130,24210,24350

  • Weak below level for day 23860 - next support 23810,23740,23580

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

As we can see in chart → capital market, Metal & defence well above old swing high but psu bank and auto still legging behind.

Brent Crude:

as expected brent crossing 97 level and now at 100.3 .. with rupee back to 94 level .. this combo is not good for indian markets.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : INfy

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : Higher call writing and put unwinding

Indication :Data indicating Bearish bias

Call Resistance : 24200

Put Support : 23500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 80.72% [vs 79.2% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Short[added short] Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -8827cr [Apr Month Sell 56364 cr]

DIi +4700cr [Apr Month Buy 39480 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : HSCL, Chennai petro

Breakdown Stocks : Infy

RAVEN 1.0

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 24th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-24th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-24th-apr-2026Fri, 24 Apr 2026 02:19:49 GMT

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Good Morning!

In a significant development, U.S. President Donald Trump has announced that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to extend their ceasefire by three weeks

The earnings season has hit a rough patch, specifically in the IT sector. Infosys Reported a lackluster Q4. When the industry leader struggles, it drags down the sentiment for the entire Nifty IT index.

Given the combination of expensive oil, a weak currency, and disappointing earnings from heavyweights like Infosys, the path of least resistance for the market seems to be downward or sideways.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.36% Dow fut +0.11%, Nasdaq +0.89%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.19%, CAC +0.86%, Dax -0.16%

  • Asia: Mild Negetive

  • Gift Nifty : +50 pts

  • USDINR 94.08 [vs 93.77]

  • Brent Crude 100.23 [vs 96.87]

  • DXY 98.80 [vs 98.58]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire ends on wednesday [uncertainty continues]

    • Trump says Israel, Lebanon agreed to ceasefire extension

    • US attorney confirms warrants issued for seized oil tankers carrying Iranian oil

  • IndiGo: The airline received a warning letter from the DGCA concerning airfares charged during December.

  • Azad Engineering:Turbomachinery supply deal extended (Baker Hugh)

  • HG Infra:Sells Arm HG Raipur for Rs 282 Cr to Neo Infra Income Opportunities Fund

  • EPACK Durable: reports that Narayan Lodha has resigned from roles as Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer.

  • Lux Industries : Board gives in‑principle nod to demerger plan

  • Rolex Rings:Board approves buyback of up to Rs 180 Cr

  • Layoff news : Meta, Microsoft, Nike cutting jobs and KPMG axing 10% audit partners

  • Results :

    • Infosys (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 2%, Net profit up 27.8%, EBIT margin up 20 bps. [below street estimates]

    • Adani Energy Solutions (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 16.8%, Net profit up 5.7%, EBITDA margin down 650 bps.

    • LTM (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 4.7%, Net profit up 43.4%, EBIT margin down 100 bps.

    • Tata Capital (Q4 Cons QoQ): Total Income up 2.3%, Net profit up 19.5%, no EBITDA reported.

    • Cyient (Q4 Cons QoQ): Revenue up 4.2%, Net profit down 40.3%, EBIT margin down 95 bps.

    • IEX (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 22.5%, Net profit up 10.8%, EBITDA margin up 41 bps.

    • Himadri Speciality Chemical (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 13.5%, Net profit up 29.1%, EBITDA margin down 180 bps.

    • Blue Stone Jewellery (Q4 Cons YoY): Revenue up 47.7%, Net profit swung to profit from loss, EBITDA margin up 1250 bps.

    • Results Today : Reliance Industries, Hindustan Zinc, Shriram Finance, Adani Green Energy Limited, Lodha Developers, L&T Finance, IndusInd Bank, Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals, Atul, Chennai Petroleum Corporation, Can Fin Homes, Jayaswal Neco Industries.

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • View on nifty remains cautious to bearish with rupee back to 94 and crude above 100 level. Seems nifty heading towards 23800 level

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Data indicating higher call writing and with rising crude and weakening rupee expect pressure at higher level.

  • Strong above level for day 24230 - next resistance 24300,24360,24440

  • Weak below level for day 24135 - next support 24100,24030,23930

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

As we can see in chart → capital market, Metal & defence well above old swing high but psu bank and auto still legging behind.

Brent Crude:

as expected brent crossing 97 level and now at 100.3 .. with rupee back to 94 level .. this combo is not good for indian markets.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : Mphasis, Hind Zinc

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : Higher call writing and put unwinding

Indication :Data indicating Bearish bias

Call Resistance : 24500

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 79.20% [vs 79.2% last week]

FII = Short[shorts added], Pro = Short[added short] Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -3254cr [Apr Month Sell 47535 cr]

DIi +941cr [Apr Month Buy 34777 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Data Patterns, Welcorp, Glenmark

Breakdown Stocks : IIFL

RAVEN 1.0

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 23rd Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-23rd-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-23rd-apr-2026Thu, 23 Apr 2026 01:55:47 GMT

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Good Morning!

While U.S. President Trump has extended the ceasefire with Iran, the situation remains far from peaceful. The U.S. Navy is maintaining its blockade, and fresh reports of attacks on three ships near the Strait of Hormuz have spooked global energy markets.

The IT pack is under heavy pressure after HCL Tech reported a weak set of numbers. The company missed its revenue targets and gave a cautious outlook for the coming year, citing a drop in spending by big global clients.

The combination of rising oil prices and a sliding Rupee creates a difficult environment for domestic equities. Immediate global "war-risk" and the drag from the IT sector suggest that investors should remain cautious.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +0.69% Dow fut -0.12%, Nasdaq +1.64%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.21%, CAC -0.97%, Dax -0.31%

  • Asia: Mild Negetive

  • Gift Nifty : -130 pts

  • USDINR 93.77 [vs 93.46]

  • Brent Crude 96.87 [vs 93.57]

  • DXY 98.58/ [vs 98.34]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire ends on wednesday [uncertainty continues]

    • Iran blamed Washington for stalled peace negotiations due to the United States naval blockade of the country’s ports,

    • Iran is showing control with the seizure of two vessels in Strait of Hormuz

  • Bharat Electronics: Co. has secured multiple orders aggregating to Rs 569 cr

  • Gujarat Gas:More than 7 mmscmd of gas contracts have been signed by Morbi factories for May month

  • Adani Green:Arm operationalises 292 MW Solar Proj in Gujarat

  • GNG Electronics: The company clarified that its credit rating has been upgraded to 'BBB' by CARE Ratings

  • Blackbuck: Quant Mutual Fund bought 9.20 lk shares

  • NSE: SEBI panel on co-location case; NSE faces ₹1,800 cr settlement

  • Results :

    • SBI Life Insurance : Net premium income up 16%, Net profit down 1.1%,

    • Trent : Revenue up 20.2%, Net profit up 30%, EBITDA margin up 260 bps

    • Tata Communications : Revenue up 9.4%, Net profit down 74.7%, EBITDA margin up 85 bps.

    • L&T Technology Services : Revenue up 2.5%, Net profit up 9.7%, EBIT margin up 40 bps

    • Oracle Financial Services : Revenue up 5.1%, Net profit up 38.1%, EBIT margin up 950 bps.

    • Results Today : Infosys, Adani Energy Solutions, Union Bank of India, Tata Capital, LTM, Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC, Himadri Speciality Chemical, CIE Automotive India, Indian Energy Exchange, Cyient, Bluestone Jewellery and Lifestyle,

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • View on nifty remains cautious to bearish with rupee again inching up and Crude oil rising with no signs of ending of war in sight.

Sensex Expiry levels

  • Data indicating higher call writing and with weak global market expect a weaker expiry —> can trade based on these levels.

  • Strong above level for day 78775 - next resistance 79000, 79250

  • Weak below level for day 78440 - next support 78300, 78000, 77700

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

as we can see in chart → capital market, Metal & defence well above old swing high but psu bank and auto still legging behind.

Brent Crude:

Post announcement of opening of strait of hormuz - crude dropped from 94 to 84 on friday but jumped back to 91 level after fresh escalation from both sides. Now gain inching up and about give breakout of 96.6 Level

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : CDSL, Coforge, Tech M, HCL Tech, Tata Elxsi

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : HIgher call writing and put unwnding

Indication :Data indicating Bearish bias

Call Resistance : 78000

Put Support : 79000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 78.30% [vs 79.2% last week]

FII = Short[shorts added], Pro = Short[added short Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -2078cr [Apr Month Sell 44280 cr]

DIi -1048cr [AprMonth Buy 33839 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Data patterns, Urban Co, ABB

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [Next batch started from May 26 ]

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  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 22st Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-22st-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-22st-apr-2026Wed, 22 Apr 2026 02:50:47 GMT

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Good Morning!

The global markets are waking up to a mix of relief and anxiety. While President Trump has extended the ceasefire with Iran—preventing an immediate breakout of full-scale war—the underlying tension has actually increased.

The big news is the cancellation of Vice President JD Vance’s trip to Islamabad. This was supposed to be the “peace summit,” but it fell through because Iran refused to come to the table. This tells investors that while the guns are silent for now, the diplomacy is failing. As long as the US maintains its naval blockade on Iranian vessels, the risk of a sudden “spark” remains high

  • Most Asian indices are trading "nervously" in the red.

  • Crude oil is the biggest "red flag" right now. Prices are holding stubbornly above $90 per barrel.

  • The US Navy is still stopping Iranian ships. This keeps the supply of oil tight.

Asian markets have opened in the green this morning, showing a bit of "cautious optimism." Don't get too carried away by the green screens this morning. The "Wednesday Deadline" is the real boss of the market right now. If the talks in Islamabad go well, the rally continues. If they fail, things could turn red quickly.

The market is currently in a “Wait and Watch” mode. We have a ceasefire, but no solution. Stay cautious. The "extended ceasefire" is just a band-aid on a deep wound. The market won't fully relax until ships start moving freely through the Strait of Hormuz again.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.59% Dow fut +0.20%, Nasdaq -0.59%

  • Europe: FTSE -1.06%, CAC -1.16%, Dax -0.61%

  • Asia: Negetive

  • Gift Nifty : -120 pts

  • USDINR 93.46 [vs 93.09]

  • Brent Crude 93.57 [vs 90.95]

  • DXY 98.34 [vs 98.10]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire ends on wednesday [uncertainty continues]

    • United States President Donald Trump has announced an extension to the ceasefire with Iran

    • ran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says that “blockading Iranian ports is an act of war and thus a violation of the ceasefire”

  • Aurobindo Pharma: Co. approved an Rs 800 crore buyback, at Rs 1,475 per share, [at 6% premium to today’s closing price]

  • PNC Infratech: The company has emerged as the L1 Bidder for construction orders worth a massive Rs 3,483 cr

  • BEML: The company has secured a Rs 590 crore contract

  • 360 ONE WAM: The company received a tax demand of Rs 336 crore

  • OneSource Specialty Pharma : Fidelity brought 20lk shares

  • Results :

    • Persistent Systems: Revenue up 7.4%, Net profit up 20.4%, EBIT margin down 40 bps

    • 360 ONE WAM: Revenue down 5.6%, Net profit down 11.8%, EBITDA margin down 190 bps

    • Tata Elxsi: Revenue up 4.2%, Net profit up 101.8%, EBIT margin up 140 bps

    • Sunteck Realty: Revenue up 64.5%, Net profit up 26.5%, EBITDA margin down 475 bps

    • CMPDI: Revenue up 11.7%, Net profit down 32.2%, EBITDA margin down 1623 bps

    • HCLTech: Revenue up 0.3%, Net profit up 10.1%, EBIT margin down 210 bps

    • Results Today : SBI Life Insurance , Trent, Tech Mahindra, Havells India, OFSS, Tata Communications, LT Technology Services, Bharat Coking Coal.

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Nifty very close to 61% retracement level 24750 . and on downside 24000 level is strong support now.

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Strong above level for day 24600 - next resistance 24750,24815

  • Weak below level for day 24460 - next support 24350,24265,24175

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

as we can see in chart → capital market, Metal & defence well above old swing high but psu bank and auto still legging behind.

Brent Crude:

Post announcement of opening of strait of hormuz - crude dropped from 94 to 84 on friday but jumped back to 91 level after fresh escalation from both sides. Need a close below 87 level.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : equal writing on both sides

Indication :data indicating support around 24500 and resistance around 24800-25000 zone

Call Resistance : 25000

Put Support : 24500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 77.34% [vs 79.2% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Long[added Long] Client = Long [reduced longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -1920cr [Apr Month Sell 42203 cr]

DIi +2221cr [AprMonth Buy 34884 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Groww, Elecon, Nestle

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [Next batch started from May 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 21st Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-21st-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-21st-apr-2026Tue, 21 Apr 2026 02:36:06 GMT

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Good Morning!

The market is currently in a "wait and watch" mode. While there is positive energy in Asia, all eyes are on the clock as a major geopolitical deadline approaches tomorrow.

The temporary peace (ceasefire) between the US and Iran is officially set to end this Wednesday, April 22.

  • The Shift to Islamabad: Negotiations have moved to Islamabad, Pakistan. This is now the “ground zero” for diplomacy. If these talks show progress, markets will breathe a sigh of relief.

  • The Risk: Iran has expressed some doubt about attending the next round, and the US is keeping its naval blockade in place.

  • Market Impact: If the ceasefire ends without a new agreement, we could see a jump in Crude Oil prices and some volatility in global stocks due to fears of the conflict restarting.

Asian markets have opened in the green this morning, showing a bit of "cautious optimism." Don't get too carried away by the green screens this morning. The "Wednesday Deadline" is the real boss of the market right now. If the talks in Islamabad go well, the rally continues. If they fail, things could turn red quickly.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +0.01% Dow fut +0.08%, Nasdaq -0.26%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.55%, CAC -1.13%, Dax -1.16%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +50 pts

  • USDINR 93.09 [vs 92.56]

  • Brent Crude 90.95 [vs 90.79]

  • DXY 98.10 [vs 98.30]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire ends on wednesday [uncertainty continues]

    • Iran saying it will not negotiate under the “shadow of threats”.

    • EU to widen Iran sanctions to those deemed ‘responsible’ for blocking Hormuz

    • US President Donald Trump says the blockade on Iranian ports will remain until Tehran agrees to a deal.

    • US military blockade redirects 27 vessels since blockade

  • Vedanta: The company has set May 1 as the record date to finalize its demerger into four separate units (Aluminium, Power, Oil, Iron)

  • JSW Steel: The company has executed a Joint Venture (JV) with POSCO to establish a 6 MTPA steel plant in Odisha

  • Interarch Building: The company has secured an Rs 80 crore order

  • Rolex Rings: Board Meeting on April 22 for sharebuyback

  • AU Small Finance Bank: Board Meeting on April for QIP-Fund raise

  • Results :

    • Groww: Revenue up 88%, Net profit up 122%,

    • Bank of Maharashtra: NII up 20%, Net profit up 35%,

    • PNB Housing Finance: NII up 11%, Net profit up 19.2%,

    • SML Mahindra: Total income up 16.4%, Net profit up 2.4%, margin down 166 bps

    • Results Today : HCL Tech, Nestle India, Persistent Systems, 360 ONE , Tata Elxsi, Transformers and Rectifiers India, Sunteck Realty.

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Nifty very close to 61% retracement level 24750 . and on downside 24000 level is strong support now.

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Technical pattern : breakdown from rising wedge pattern.. Caution advised

  • Strong above level for day 24440 - next resistance 24505,24600

  • Weak below level for day 24300 - next support 24240,24125,24010

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

as we can see in chart → capital market, Metal & defence well above old swing high but psu bank and auto still legging behind.

Brent Crude:

Post announcement of opening of strait of hormuz - crude dropped from 94 to 84 on friday but jumped back to 91 level after fresh escalation from both sides. Need a close below 87 level.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: —

Short buildup : Sbicard,IEX

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : We mentioned “some trapped call writers” and today strong recovery in nifty due to covering by call writers.

Indication : Now data is mild bullish with resistance around 24500 and support between 24000 - 24200 zone

Call Resistance : 24500

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 79.20% [vs 79.2% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = shorts[added shorts] Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -1059cr [Apr Month Sell 39224 cr]

DIi +2966cr [AprMonth Buy 29696 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Triveni Turbine, Graphite

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [Next batch started from May 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

Thanks for reading Pre Market Report! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 20th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-20th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-20th-apr-2026Mon, 20 Apr 2026 02:49:52 GMT

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Good Morning!

lobal markets are waking up to a wave of geopolitical heat that has pushed oil prices higher and brought a sense of caution back to the trading floor. After a strong recovery period, the sudden shift in news flow suggests we may see some volatility today.

Oil prices have seen a significant jump, with Brent crude now trading well above the $90 level. This spike is driven by two major developments in the Middle East:

  • Strait of Hormuz Escalation: Fears of a major energy disruption have resurfaced as tensions tighten around this critical shipping lane.

  • US Navy Action: Reports confirm the US Navy has seized an Iranian-flagged vessel after it allegedly tried to bypass a naval blockade.

The current fragile ceasefire is set to expire this Wednesday, April 22. While President Trump announced that US negotiators are heading to Pakistan today for talks, Iran has signaled it may not attend.

Markets are currently sitting near a 61% retracement level. In simple terms, after a big recovery, the market has hit a "resistance" point where it often decides whether to keep going up or take a breather. Given that the ceasefire could end in 48 hours and oil is spiking, big institutional investors are likely to avoid taking heavy risks today.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +1.79% Dow fut -0.80%, Nasdaq +2.22%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.73%, CAC +1.93%, Dax +2.22%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +100 pts

  • USDINR 92.56 [vs 92.96]

  • Brent Crude 90.79 [vs 94.25 - made low 84]

  • DXY 98.30 [vs 98.25]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Araghchi declared on Friday that the Strait of hormouz was “completely open” in line with the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon that took effect the previous day. and retracked immediately next day.

    • Speaker of Iran’s parliament said that seven recent claims that US President Donald Trump made regarding Iran “were false”, and warned that the Strait of Hormuz “will not remain open” if the US blockade of Iranian ports continues.

    • Iran denies it has agreed to transfer enriched uranium

    • US seizure of ship could indicate start of ‘new military assault against Iran’

  • Cipla: The company received 2 Form 483 observations from the US FDA for its Goa facility.

  • Lupin: The US FDA has issued a Form-483 with 3 observations for the company's US manufacturing facility.

  • Shyam Metalics: ED has attached investments worth Rs. 152 crore belonging to the company’s arm, in connection with an ongoing PMLA case.

  • PC Jeweller: The company continues its deleveraging efforts, reducing its outstanding bank debt by another 10%

  • Dredging Corp: The company has signed a significant MoU worth Rs. 2,157 cr with IOCL for the supply of fuel for its dredging fleet.

  • MCX : gets SEBI nod to invest in proposed coal exchange, commits Rs 100 crore

  • Interarch Building: The company has bagged a Rs 60 crore order for the manufacturing of a Pre-Engineered Steel Building System.

  • Results :

    • HDFC Bank : NII up 3.2%, Net profit up 9.1%, Provisions down 18%

    • ICICI Bank : NII up 8.4%, Net profit up 8.5%, Provisions down 89.2%

    • Jio fin : Total income up 96.9%, Net profit down 13.9%

    • Yes bank : NII up 15.9%, Net profit up 44.7%, Provisions down 41%

    • Results Today : Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Bank of Maharashtra, PNB Housing Finance, SML Mahindra, NELCO, PNB Gilts,

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Nifty very close ot 61% retracement level 24750 . view is cautious from here.

Nifty Intraday levels

  • Strong above level for day 24370 - next resistance 24450,24550,24715

  • Weak below level for day 24228 - next support 24165,24100,23995

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Energy and Defence sectors back in buy mode.

Brent Crude:

Post announcement of opening of strait of hormuz - crude dropped from 94 to 84 on friday but jumped back to 91 level after fresh escalation from both sides. Need a close below 87 level.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: RVNL

Short buildup : Policy Bzr

Options Open Interest:

OI Changes : higher put writing and call unwinding.. some trapped call writers

Indication : Data indicating Bullish bias

Call Resistance : 24500-24800

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 79.20% [vs 77.94% last week]

FII = Short[reduced shorts], Pro = Long[added Longs] Client = Long [reduced longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII +683r [Apr Month Sell 39224 cr]

DIi -4721cr [AprMonth Buy 29696 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Nava, AngelOne, Engineers india, SCI, Fact

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [Next batch started from May 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

Thanks for reading Pre Market Report! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 17th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-17th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-17th-apr-2026Fri, 17 Apr 2026 02:37:04 GMT

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Good Morning!

The markets are entering a "wait and watch" phase now. While global tensions are cooling down thanks to peace talks, Asian markets are acting a bit shy. However, slowing down of selling foreign investors to the Indian market is a very positive sign for our local sentiment.

  • A 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has officially started

  • Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have turned into net buyers in the cash market for the second day in a row. In fact, they have been buyers in 3 out of the last 4 sessions

  • Asian stocks are trading slightly lower this morning as investors choose to "lighten positions" before the weekend.

Don't chase the market if it jumps too high early on. Since it's a Friday and technicals suggest consolidation, the market might stay in a tight range. The focus should be on stock-specific moves rather than the whole index.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +0.24% Dow fut +0.06%, Nasdaq +0.36%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.29%, CAC -0.14%, Dax +0.36%

  • Asia: mild negative

  • Gift Nifty : -10 pts

  • USDINR 92.96 [vs 93.25]

  • Brent Crude 94.25 [vs 92.34]

  • DXY 98.25 [vs 98.01]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Trump said Tehran had accepted terms that include abandoning ambitions for a nuclear weapon - which was denied by Iran

    • Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed due to a dual blockade by the US and Iran

    • MF Executive Director warned that restoring a meaningful portion of disrupted oil and gas output could take up to two years.

    • 10-Day Israel, Lebanon Ceasefire Begins

  • Wipro : Board approves Rs 15,000-crore share buyback via tender offer at 19% premium

  • Adani stocks : Gautam Adani & cos get CCI clean chit in US bribery allegations in SECI tender case

  • HDFC Bank: Approves investment up to Rs 1,000 Cr in HDFC Life

  • RVNL: The company emerges as L1 bidder for a Rs.967 crore construction project

  • Aditya Infotech: The company enters into a 50:50 joint venture with Orient Cables

  • DCM Shriram:Arm enters into JV 'PolyTek' with Teknor Apex

  • Firstsource Solutions: Announces launch of intelligence engine Kairos

  • KPI Green: Gets Inter-State Power Trading Licence from CERC

  • Results :

    • Wipro: reveneu up 2.88%, Net Profit up 12.27%, EBIt margin up 242bps

    • HDFC LIfe : net premium up 9%, Net Profit up 4.7%

    • Angel One : Revenue up 9.3%, Net Profit up 19.2%, Margin 41% vs 39.7%

    • Waaree Renew: Revenue up 131%, Net Profit up 66%,

    • HDFC AMC : Revenue up 17%, Net Profit down 2%,

    • Results Today : Jio Financial, Bajaj Consumer , Mastek, Aditya Birla Money

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • “Now Nifty at key resistance zone 24200-24400 - view becomes cautious here.. may be some consolidation or one dip here before moving towards next target.” This was our view yesterday and 300 point fall in nifty same day

  • Expect some pressure on upside now.. view will be cautious on rise.

Sensex Expiry levels

  • Nifty rise was in rising wedge pattern breakdown from this wedge could make it more bearish

  • Strong above level for day 24275 - next resistance 24360, 24460

  • Weak below level for day 24130 - next support 24040,23920

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Crude could not sustain gap opening and now below 20EMA - thats positive sign now 50EMA 88.5 level holds key importance.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: Astral

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

Higher call writing and can see decent call writing accross 24200 to 24500 range. Data becoming slight bearish now, expect pressure on upside

Call Resistance : 24500

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 79.63% [vs 77.94% last week]

FII = Short[added shorts], Pro = Short[added shorts] Client = Long [added longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII +382r [Apr Month Sell 39907 cr]

DIi -3427cr [AprMonth Buy 34420 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : GMDC, SCI Syrma, NLC India, Gallantt[we discussed few days back this breakout]

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [Next batch started from May 26 ]

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 16th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-15th-apr-2026-3d5https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-15th-apr-2026-3d5Thu, 16 Apr 2026 02:42:25 GMT

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Good Morning!

The Indian markets are opening today in a unique spot. On one hand, the Middle East remains a "hot zone" with shipping routes blocked, but on the other hand, the fact that people are talking instead of fighting is giving investors a reason to smile.

  • There is a fresh wave of optimism as the US and Iran return to the negotiating table.

  • We are seeing a weak ceasefire that might get extended. However, it’s not all smooth sailing.

  • After a period of selling and staying on the sidelines, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have turned net buyers in the cash market

While the overall sentiment has been boosted by de-escalation hopes between the US and Iran, the Nifty is now entering a "noise zone." After a strong recovery from the 23,500 levels, the index is facing its first major technical test. This 24,200–24,400 range is a heavy supply zone -Caution is the keyword here - A "one dip" or a small pullback towards the 23,800 –24,000 support level would actually be healthy. It allows weak hands to exit and gives long-term buyers a better entry point.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +0.15% Dow fut +0.09%, Nasdaq +1.59%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.47%, CAC -0.64%, Dax +0.09%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +80 pts

  • USDINR 93.25 [vs 93.14]

  • Brent Crude 92.34 [vs 92.16]

  • DXY 98.01 [vs 98.22]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Iran Foreign Minister Araghchi meets Pakistan’s Army Chief in Tehran.

    • Trump has signalled second round of talks in Pakistan this week,

    • Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, with a US naval blockade on Iranian ports still in place

  • Metal Stocks : CHINA 1Q GDP GROWS 5% Y/Y; EST. +4.8%
    CHINA MARCH INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT RISES 5.7% Y/Y; EST. +5.3%

  • NBFC Stocks: RBI allows NBFCs to open branches without prior approval

  • Dixon Tech, PGEL : Govt likely to roll out mobile PLI 2.0 scheme

  • Sagility: The company receives a tax demand of Rs. 100 crore

  • SAMHI Hotels: The company signs a lease agreement for a ~162‑room hotel in Noida.

  • Indiqube: The company secures a contract worth Rs. 52 crore

  • Results :

    • ICICI Lombard: Net Premium up 10.8%, Net Profit up 7.3%

    • HDB Finacial : Revenue up 22%, Net Profit up 41.4%

    • Results Today : Wipro, HDFC Life , HDFC AMC, CRISIL, Angel One, Waaree Renewable Technologies, VST Industries, SG FINSERVE.

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Next target for nifty will be 24750 [61% retracement] but Now Nifty at key resistance zone 24200-24400 - view becomes cautious here.. may be some consolidation or one dip here before moving towards next target.

Sensex Expiry levels

  • Strong above level for day 78270 - next resistance 78490, 78730

  • Weak below level for day 77940 - next support 77650, 77470

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Crude could not sustain gap opening and now below 20EMA - thats positive sign now 50EMA 88.5 level holds key importance.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup: AngleOne, Siemens, 360One

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

Higher put writing and call writing around 23900-24000 indicating resistance mild bullish data with resistance around 24000 level. Now if 24000 level taken out with Gap opening , that will trap call writers and trigger short covering.

Call Resistance : 24000

Put Support : 23500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 78.93% [vs 77.94% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Short[reduced longs] Client = Long []

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII +666r [Apr Month Sell 40290 cr]

DIi -568cr [AprMonth Buy 37845 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Gallantt, NetWeb, Siemens

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

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  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 15th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-15th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-15th-apr-2026Wed, 15 Apr 2026 02:45:50 GMT

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Good Morning!

The global markets are entering a "relief phase" as geopolitical tensions show signs of cooling down. With the U.S. and Iran looking at the peace table again and oil prices cooling off, the sentiment is shifting from "fear" to "cautious optimism."

The biggest news driving the global mood is the report that the US and Iran are preparing for a second round of peace talks.

For the Indian markets, the heavy selling by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) seems to be losing its steam.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is cooling off, which is a big “green signal” for other assets. Gold and Silver are staying strong. Gold is holding near $4,825 and Silver at 80$ showing a “relief rally” after its recent correction.

we expected nifty to take support around 23450 level and nifty recovered sharply from 23550 level - and with todays gap up at every low now nifty is leaving a strong demand which make it buy on dips.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +1.29% Dow fut -0.12%, Nasdaq +1.96%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.25%, CAC +1.1%, Dax +1.26%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +350 pts

  • USDINR 93.14 [vs 93.04]

  • Brent Crude 92.16 [vs 98]

  • DXY 98.22 [vs 99.02]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • US and Iran are reportedly preparing for a second round of peace

    • US proposed a 20-year freeze on Iran's uranium enrichment in its proposal. However, Tehran said it could only agree to a five year sanction

    • Lebanon and Israel’s envoys have met for rare direct talks in Washington, DC

  • Vedanta : ten workers were killed and 23 injured in a boiler explosion at plant in Chhattisgarh's

  • Ujjivan Small Finance Bank: The company states that RBI has returned its universal banking licence application

  • HG Infra Engineering: The company receives an order worth Rs. 519 crore

  • Hindustan Zinc: The company emerges as the successful bidder for a potash and halite block in Rajasthan

  • Railtel:Won two orders from RVNL worth Rs 564 cr

  • Results :

    • ICICI Pru AMC: Net profit down 16.8%, Revenue down 12.1%

    • JustDial : Net profit down 36.5%, Revenue up 6.2%,

    • Swaraj Engines : revenue up 20.2%, profit up 201%,

    • Results Today : ICICI Prudential Life , Anand Rathi Share ,

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Nifty made low around 23550 level which is 20EMA and strong recovery from that level .. indicating a strong support at lower levels.

    • Now 24200-24400 zone holds key resistance on upside. but bias is changing to buy dips now.

Nifty intraday level levels

  • Strong above level for day 23910 - next resistance 24080,24180,24300

  • Weak below level for day 23730 - next support 23630,23550

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Crude could not sustain gap opening and now below 20EMA - thats positive sign now 50EMA 88.5 level holds key importance.

Silver :

Silver giving nice breakout above 50EMA - chart looks good for recovery.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup :—

Short buildup : APL Apollo

Options Open Interest:

Higher put writing and call writing around 23900-24000 indicating resistance mild bullish data with resistance around 24000 level. Now if 24000 level taken out with Gap opening , that will trap call writers and trigger short covering.

Call Resistance : 24000

Put Support : 23500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 78.18% [vs 77.94% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Long[added longs] Client = Long []

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -1983r [Apr Month Sell 40955 cr]

DIi +2432cr [AprMonth Buy 38414 cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Zydux Well, ather Enr, Welcorp, Sarda Energy

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [Next batch started from May 26 ]

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  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 13th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-13th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-13th-apr-2026Mon, 13 Apr 2026 02:39:40 GMT

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Good Morning!

The markets are entering a high-tension zone today. After a brief period of hope, the failure of peace talks has brought "Risk-Off" sentiment back to the driver’s seat. Here is a breakdown of what is moving the needle.

Oil prices have shot up again, crossing the $100 per barrel mark. This happened because ceasefire talks between the U.S. and Iran over the ongoing conflict ended without a deal.

U.S. President Trump has announced a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

What is the Strait of Hormuz? It is a narrow strip of water between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. It is the world’s most important “choke point” for oil. About 20% of the world’s total oil passes through this tiny passage.

The Blockade: By “blocking” it, the U.S. Navy plans to stop ships from entering or leaving Iranian ports. This basically cuts off a huge chunk of global oil supply, making the world fear a massive shortage.

The Nifty is looking weak on the charts. There is a “Gap” left on the charts from earlier price movements. Nifty is likely to slide down to “fill the gap” between 23,450 and 23,150.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.56% Dow fut -0.87%, Nasdaq +0.35%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.03%, CAC +0.17%, Dax -0.01%

  • Asia: Negetive

  • Gift Nifty : -325 pts

  • USDINR 93.04 [vs 92.43]

  • Brent Crude 98 [vs 93.77]

  • DXY 99.02 [vs 98.89]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • US and Iran fail to reach a deal after marathon talks in Pakistan

    • Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade after US-Iran peace talks end - The move is explicitly designed to stop Iran from collecting transit tolls from tankers passing through the strait.

    • we will respond by taking control of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to the Red Sea. We may close it too"- this move would cut off 12% of global energy supply, bringing the total shortfall to 32%

  • Lupin: The company launched its Dapagliflozin Tablets in the United States.

  • Torrent Pharma: The US FDA inspected the company’s Gujarat unit concluded with zero observations.

  • Swiggy: Co-founder Nandan Reddy steps down to pursue personal projects

  • Fertilizer Stocks:China to ban sulfuric acid exports

  • Everest Industries: Company sells land for Rs.100.8 crore.

  • Results :

    • Results Today : ICICI Asset managment, Just Dial, Swaraj Engines

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • “After a strong recovery from positive RSI divergance - now nifty reaching short term resistance zone 24220-24420” This was our statement on friday and now a gap down.

    • Key support level for nifty will be 23470 - 23150

Nifty intraday level levels

  • Strong above level for day 2430 - next resistance 24130,24210

  • Weak below level for day 23940 - next support 23860,23778,23685

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

We discussed this possibility of recovery from 50EMA and now brent above 20EMA - indicating further strengthening.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup :—

Short buildup : TCS

Options Open Interest:

Higher put writing and call unwinding indicating bullish view based on data, with gap down Fridays bulls be trapped now.. that might put further pressure. action of first 15 min is crutian.

Call Resistance : 24500

Put Support : 24000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 77.94% [vs 83.16% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Long[] Client = Short [reduced shorts]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII +672r [Apr Month Sell 38972 cr]

DIi +410cr [AprMonth Buy 35982cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : —

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [batch started from second week of April 26 ]

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  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 10th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-10th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-10th-apr-2026Fri, 10 Apr 2026 03:05:48 GMT

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Good Morning!

The global markets are currently walking on a tightrope. While there is a temporary "break" in the war between the US and Iran, new tensions in Lebanon are keeping investors nervous.

Israel has continued heavy attacks on Lebanon, stating that Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal. Iran has called this a violation, and there is a fear that the peace talks could fall apart if the violence escalates.

The market is stuck between two emotions: relief that a ceasefire exists, and fear that it won't last. This prevents the market from falling sharply but also stops it from a big "recovery rally."

For Nifty, the level of 23,200 – 23,400 is a crucial support area. If it stays above this, we can hope for a recovery. On the upside, 24,000 is a tough wall to climb.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +0.58% Dow fut -0.12%, Nasdaq +0.82%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.05%, CAC -0.22%, Dax -1.15%

  • Asia: Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +40 pts

  • USDINR 92.43 [vs 92.53]

  • Brent Crude 93.77 [vs 94.20]

  • DXY 98.89 [vs 99.08]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Israeli attacks on Lebanon threaten US-Iran ceasefire talks

    • Oil prices continued to rise in early Asian trading as investors remain concerned over restricted shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz

  • Wipro: The company’s board will meet on April 16 to consider a proposal for the buyback of equity shares.

  • Eicher Motors: The company has launched the electric motorcycle, priced at Rs. 2.79 lakh

  • NHPC: The company’s board will meet on April 14 to discuss the monetization of future cash flows from its power stations.

  • Poonawalla Fincorp: The company has opened its QIP issue today, floor price at Rs. 390.26

  • Results :

    • TCS : Net profit up 29%, Revenue up 5.4%, margins remain flat

    • Anand Rathi wealth : revenue up 29.6%, Net profit up 40%, margin 29.4% vs 40.9%

  • Stock in Ban : Sammaan, Sail

Indices Analysis

  • After a strong recovery from positive RSI divergance - now nifty reaching short term resistance zone 24220-24420

    • we have strong support around 23450-23200 zone

    • Expect some rangebound move before major move either side

Nifty intraday level levels

  • Chart and data indicating some some rangebound move between 23500 - 24000.

  • Strong above level for day 23850 - next resistance 23950, 24030

  • Weak below level for day 23740 - next support 23650, 23525

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Big gap down in crude and sustaining around here, that’s positive - major support on crude is 87.5 level. that’s 50EMA level.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup :Power India, BSE, 360One, Waaree

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

Higher call writing with 24000 now becoming strong resistance - expect some rangebound move with negative bias

Call Resistance : 24000

Put Support : 23500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 79.52% [vs 83.16% last week]

FII = Short[added shorts], Pro = Long[added Longs] Client = Short [added shorts]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -1177r [Apr Month Sell 39644 cr]

DIi +955cr [AprMonth Buy 35572cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Thermax, HOnasa, Anand Rathi

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [batch started from second week of April 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 9th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-9th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-9th-apr-2026Thu, 09 Apr 2026 02:47:17 GMT

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Good Morning!

The Indian and global markets are currently navigating a highly volatile landscape. While we have seen a strong recovery from recent lows, the geopolitical situation remains fragile, keeping investors on edge.

The “ceasefire” between Israel and regional forces appears to be on very thin ice.

  • Escalation in Lebanon: Just hours after the ceasefire was discussed, Israel launched over 100 strikes on Lebanon—the most intense attack since the conflict began.

  • Iran’s Stance: Reports suggest that Iran is considering withdrawing from the ceasefire agreement entirely.

Crude oil prices have provided some much-needed breathing room for the Indian economy.

  • The Positive: Prices falling below the $100 mark is a big psychological and fundamental relief for an oil-importing nation like India.

  • Key Levels: Crude recently touched a low near $88, which is acting as a strong support zone. We are seeing a bounce from these levels.

This bounce indicates that while global news is scary, the underlying domestic appetite remains strong. However, with the ceasefire looking shaky, we should expect some "sideways to volatile" movement rather than a straight-line rally

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +2.85% Dow fut -0.06%, Nasdaq +2.8%

  • Europe: FTSE +2.45%, CAC +4.3%, Dax +4.8%

  • Asia: MIld negetive

  • Gift Nifty : -100 pts

  • USDINR 92.53 [vs 92.36]

  • Brent Crude 94.20 [vs 92.55]

  • DXY 99.08 [vs 98.91]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Two Week ceasefire [uncertainty continues]

    • Israel launched 100+ strikes on Lebanon HOURS later - the biggest attack since the war began

    • Iran is "mulling withdrawal from the ceasefire entirely"

    • Trump threatens 50% tariffs on countries that supply Iran with weapons

  • NTPC: The company has signed an MoU with France's EDF to jointly develop nuclear power projects in India.

  • KEC International: The company has secured new orders worth Rs. 2,518 crore

  • NHPC:CCEA approves Kamala Hydroelectric Proj for Rs 26,070 Cr

  • Block Deal :

    • JTL ind : Abakkus Asset Manager bought 97Lac shares @54.50

    • Delhivery : bought by ICICI prulife, nippon india MF, SBI MF, Edelweiss MF

    • ITC Hotels: GQG Partners sold 1.28 crore shares

  • Stock in Ban : —

Indices Analysis

  • “Nifty chart showing positive RSI divergance [nifty making lower low and rsi making higher low on last 3 instances” After timely pointing out the bottom on nifty - We still feel recovery wont be a smooth ride. now we approaching a resistance zone 24300 - 24600 , where we might face some resistance

Nifty intraday level levels

  • Chart and data all indicating a strong chart and expect a move towards 78000 and above

  • Strong above level for day 77650 - next resistance 77800, 78000

  • Weak below level for day 77330 - next support 77000, 76820

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Big gap down in crude and sustaining around here, that’s positive - major support on crude is 87.5 level. that’s 50EMA level.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup :Kfintech, blustart co, 360One, Bosch

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

Big gap up and sustained move, cretaed a gap which sill provide a good support in coming days. data indicating a range of 77000 - 78500 for todays sensex expiry.

Call Resistance : 78000

Put Support : 77000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 78.99% [vs 83.16% last week]

FII = Short[reduced shorts], Pro = Long[added Longs] Client = Long [reduced longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -2811r [Apr Month Sell 37933 cr]

DIi +4168cr [AprMonth Buy 34618cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Craftsman, Nam-india

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [batch started from second week of April 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

Thanks for reading Pre Market Report! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 8th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-8th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-8th-apr-2026Wed, 08 Apr 2026 02:55:11 GMT

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Good Morning!

The biggest cloud hanging over the global markets has finally cleared—at least for now. President Trump and Iran have agreed to a two-week ceasefire. The crucial Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen.

In response to the ceasefire, Brent Crude oil has crashed 10%, now trading around $93/bbl. As a major oil importer, this is fantastic news for the Indian economy.

For the past three sessions, we’ve been tracking signs that the market was tired of falling. Today’s news perfectly aligns with the technical signals we spotted earlier:

  • RSI Divergence: While prices were making new lows recently, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) was moving higher. This “hidden strength” suggested that selling pressure was drying up.

  • Bollinger Band Support: The index has been hugging the lower Bollinger Band, a zone where markets often bounce back.

  • Verdict: These signs indicate a mid-term bottoming out. The technicals provided the “warning,” and the Trump-Iran news provided the “trigger” for a recovery.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.18% Dow fut +2.03%, Nasdaq +0.03%

  • Europe: FTSE -0.85%, CAC -0.68%, Dax -1.08%

  • Asia: Strong Positive

  • Gift Nifty : +650 pts

  • USDINR 92.36 [vs 93.04]

  • Crude oil 92.55 [vs 107.84]

  • DXY 98.91 [vs 100.14]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : Finally First sign of De-escalation

    • Iran says it has accepted a two-week ceasefire, with negotiations to begin on Friday in Pakistan’s Islamabad.

    • US President Donald Trump said he would suspend attacks subject to Tehran agreeing to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    • Iran says Strait of Hormuz to re-open but under Iranian supervision

    • The two-week ceasefire plan includes allowing both Iran and Oman to charge fees on ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz

  • Lupin: The company has got the US FDA approval for Dapagliflozin tablets.

  • Biocon: announced the commercial launch of its Denosumab biosimilars in the United States market.

  • Aditya Birla Real Estate: company’s arm, has successfully secured bookings worth Rs. 1,600 crore for new project in Gurugram.

  • Swan Defence: The company has secured order, valued between Rs. 1,500 crore to Rs. 3,000 crore, from Energy One.

  • Stock in Ban : —

Indices Analysis

  • Two important positive signs appearing on charts → For bullish move nifty need to sustains above previous week high 22950.

    • Nifty chart showing positive RSI divergance [nifty making lower low and rsi making higher low on last 3 instances.

    • Nifty at monthly lower Bollinger band and since 2007 this is 5th such instance and we can see the past 4 instances have resulted forming in a bottom for next few year.

Nifty intraday level levels

  • Now nifty approaching upper trendline around 23000-23100 zone. Be little cautious around that level.

  • Strong above level for day 23160 - next resistance 23300, 23440

  • Weak below level for day 22885 - next support 22740, 22555

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal, Pharma and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Crude again bouncing from 20 EMA till it doesnt close below 95 level .. After a long consolidation seems like getting ready for next upmove, This could be major risk for recovery.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup : —

Short buildup : KfinTech, Biocon, Jub Food

Options Open Interest:

Higher put writing indicating mild bullish view - but start of the new expiry so let data build also market at resistance zone - watch for break above our level for bullish view.

Call Resistance : 23500

Put Support : 23000

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 81.56% [vs 83.16% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Long[Reduced Longs] Client = Long []

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -8692r [Apr Month Sell 35121 cr]

DIi +7980cr [AprMonth Buy 33482cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Gallantt, NatcoPharma

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [batch started from second week of April 26 ]

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]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 7th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-7th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-7th-apr-2026Tue, 07 Apr 2026 02:54:41 GMT

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Good Morning!

The biggest cloud hanging over global markets right now is the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump has set a critical deadline for today for Iran to reopen this vital water passage. Crude oil prices are refused to cool down significantly. Brent and WTI are holding steady above the $105 mark.

The Indian market is showing underlying strength by holding 22,000, but it is effectively 'handcuffed' by the $107 oil price and the 8:00 P.M. deadline. Until there is clarity on the Strait of Hormuz, 23,000 will likely remain a ceiling. Expect a cautious opening with heavy volatility in the second half of the day.

Note : Dont be in hurry to catch the bottom, Allow market to settle down before any action. But such panics always provide a good opportunities for entries. We have seen in past wars, conflicts and big gaps.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow +0.36% Dow fut -0.60%, Nasdaq +0.54%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.69%, CAC -0.24%, Dax -0.56%

  • Asia: Negetive

  • Gift Nifty : -150 pts

  • USDINR 93.04 [vs 92.67]

  • Crude oil 107.84 [vs 107.23]

  • DXY 100.14 [vs 100.25]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : This is not ending soon

    • Iran threatens Bab al-Mandeb closure: which controls around 10% of worlds trade

    • US President Donald Trump has warned of the “complete demolition” of Iran’s power plants and bridges in a matter of hours if the Strait of Hormuz is not fully reopened by Tuesday’s deadline.

  • Railways : Indian Railways Approves ₹1,364.45 Crore for Kavach Deployment [HBL, Karnex]

  • Pondy Oxides: promoter acquired 6.91% stake

  • ACME Solar: The company has successfully commissioned its Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) project in Rajasthan.

  • Stock in Ban : —

Indices Analysis

  • Two important positive signs appearing on charts → For bullish move nifty need to sustains above previous week high 22950.

    • Nifty chart showing positive RSI divergance [nifty making lower low and rsi making higher low on last 3 instances.

    • have done one analysis on nifty breaking below lower bollinger band on 100 EMA - indicating 81% probability of positive returns in next 1 year from day it enters back above lower Bollinger band.

Nifty intraday level levels

  • Now nifty approaching upper trendline around 23000-23100 zone.. Be little cautious around that level.

  • Strong above level for day 23000 - next resistance 23140, 23285

  • Weak below level for day 22756 - next support 22575, 22405

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Capital market, Metal and PSU Banks sectors looks better for recovery.

Brent Crude:

Crude again bouncing from 20 EMA till it doesnt close below 95 level .. After a long consolidation seems like getting ready for next upmove, This could be major risk for recovery.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup : Bosch Ltd

Short buildup : —

Options Open Interest:

Higher put writing strong candle and trapped call writers indicating Bullish view.

Call Resistance : 23200

Put Support : 22500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 82.5% [vs 83.16% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Long[] Client = Long [reduced longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -8167r [Apr Month Sell 26430 cr]

DIi +8088cr [AprMonth Buy 22468cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : Zydus Wellness, RBL Bank

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [batch started from second week of April 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

Thanks for reading Pre Market Report! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[Market DNA Report 6th Apr 2026]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-6th-apr-2026https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/market-dna-report-6th-apr-2026Mon, 06 Apr 2026 02:44:51 GMT

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Good Morning!

Crude oil is rallying again on renewed escalation risks from President Trump’s Iran‑war rhetoric, while Asian‑region equities are trading mixed, setting a cautious tone for the upcoming session.

Trump’s latest signals that the U.S. may escalate strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure have reignited fears of lasting supply disruption via the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf export routes.

OPEC’s warning that attacks on energy infrastructure will have a prolonged impact on global supply reinforces the upside bias in the crude.

Now, for this week key support for nifty is 22550 and key resistance 23200.. If we close below 22550 might be heading for 21900 level. One positive sign is positive RSI divergence in last 3 bottoms [ check nifty analysis section]

Note : Dont be in hurry to catch the bottom, Allow market to settle down before any action. But such panics always provide a good opportunities for entries. We have seen in past wars, conflicts and big gaps.

Global Markets :

  • US : Dow -0.13% Dow fut -0.02%, Nasdaq +0.18%

  • Europe: FTSE +0.69%, CAC -0.24%, Dax -0.56%

  • Asia: Mixed

  • Gift Nifty : -130 pts

  • USDINR 92.67 [vs 93.45]

  • Crude oil 107.23 [vs 103.95]

  • DXY 100.25 [vs 99.79]

Important News update

  • US-Iran : This is not ending soon

    • US president threatens to strike power plants and bridges on Tuesday

    • Iran urges world to act as Trump renews threat to hit bridges, power plants

    • The US and Israel have repeatedly hit the nuclear power plant, raising risks of radioactive contamination far beyond Iran’s borders.

  • RBL Bank: The company reported that Emirates NBD has received Reserve Bank of India approval to acquire a 74% stake

  • Sun Pharma: Trump signs 100% tariffs on patented drugs

  • Hindustan Copper: The company is aiming to achieve Navratna status, according to the MD

  • LG Electronics: The company has crossed the milestone of 1 million air conditioner unit sales during the first quarter of calendar year 2026.

  • Orders Received :

    • J KUMAR INFRA: Gets Rs 1,184 cr order in Uttar Pradesh

    • RVNL: The company has received an order worth Rs 242 crore

  • Stock in Ban : Sail

Indices Analysis

  • Two important positive signs appearing on charts

    • Nifty chart showing positive RSI divergance [nifty making lower low and rsi making higher low on last 3 instances.

    • have done one analysis on nifty breaking below lower bollinger band on 100 EMA - indicating 81% probability of positive returns in next 1 year from day it enters back above lower Bollinger band.

Ninfty intraday level levels

  • “Now nifty approaching lower end of channel can this level provide some temporary support around 22150-22000 zone” this was our point on thursday and we could see strong recovery from 22180 level.. now awe approaching upper band around 22950-23100 zone.. that might provide resitance

  • Strong above level for day 22785 - next resistance 22945, 23170

  • Weak below level for day 22470 - next support 22325,22180

Sectoral Stock / other Asset class

Majority of sectors are now in sell mode. Let the dust settle to find the winners of recovery leg.

Brent Crude:

Crude again bouncing from 20 EMA till it doesnt close below 95 level .. bullish view with continue.

Smart Money Activity

Futures Open Interest:

Long buildup : —

Short buildup : PGEL, Amber, Dixon

Options Open Interest:

Higher put writing indicating some support around 22500 level..huge writing at 23000 call - would be stiff resistance.

Call Resistance : 23000

Put Support : 22500

FII Long Short Ratio :

Fii shorts now at 83.16% [vs 84.64% last week]

FII = Short[], Pro = Long[added Longs] Client = Long [reduced longs]

FII - DII Cash Market Activity:

FII -9931r [Apr Month Sell 18262 cr]

DIi +7208cr [AprMonth Buy 14380cr]

Volume Shockers

Breakout stocks : —

Breakdown Stocks : —

RAVEN 1.0

All in one dashboard for option traders: [batch started from second week of April 26 ]

  • Learn how to trade options strategies with low risk.

  • Signal, live monitoring & Breakeven level all on same chart

  • Track multiple strategies signals in single table

Message “Raven” to whatsapp number 8976621434 to know more details

Thanks for reading Pre Market Report! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[When Nifty Falls hard - what 20 years data Suggest?]]>https://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/when-nifty-falls-hard-what-20-yearshttps://yogeshnanda.substack.com/p/when-nifty-falls-hard-what-20-yearsSat, 04 Apr 2026 08:12:09 GMTMarkets crash. They always have. And every single time they do, the same emotional scripts play out - panic in headlines, screaming on financial TV, WhatsApp groups full of people either saying “sell everything” or “this is the buying opportunity of a lifetime.”

Neither emotion is a strategy. Data is.

Thanks for reading Market DNA! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

We went back 21 years - from 2005 to 2026 - and studied every instance where the Nifty 50 index hit a statistically extreme oversold condition on its own trend. No predictions, no gut feel. Just a clean, repeatable methodology applied consistently across bull markets, bear markets, global crises, and domestic turmoil. The results are striking, and deeply instructive for anyone trying to make rational decisions in irrational times.

Why Most People Get Big Falls Wrong

The instinct during a severe market fall is binary. Either you freeze - paralysed by fear, watching red numbers multiply - or you capitulate, selling positions near the bottom right before the recovery. Both responses share a common flaw: they are reactions to price movement, not to evidence.

The smarter approach - one used by systematic traders and long-only fund managers alike - is to define, in advance, what an “extreme” condition looks like, and then study what has happened historically every single time that condition occurred. You remove the emotion from the decision. You replace it with a framework.

Image

The Setup: Bollinger Bands on the 100-Day EMA

Most traders know Bollinger Bands as bands drawn around a simple moving average of price. We applied the bands to the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) instead of 20EMA.

The 100-day EMA represents Nifty’s medium-term trend -where the market “wants” to be, smoothed for noise.

  1. The signal trigger : Nifty closes below the lower Bollinger Band (2 standard deviations below the 100-day EMA on daily timeframe). This marks extreme oversold dislocation from trend.

2. The entry point : Entry is taken at the closing price on the first day Nifty closes back above the lower band - not before

3. De-duplication rule : Any signal triggered within 30 days of a prior entry is ignored.

4. Returns measured at exactly 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months from the entry closing price. Max drawdown tracked until Nifty closes 10% above entry, or 1 year passes.

Image

This methodology yielded 27 independent entry signals between June 2006 and February 2025 — a span of nearly two decades that includes the 2008 global financial crisis, the 2011 Euro zone fears, the 2013 taper tantrum, the 2015–16 China crash and currency devaluation fears, the 2018–19 NBFC crisis and global selloff, the 2020 COVID collapse, and the 2022 rate-hike-driven correction.

In short: this dataset contains every type of market crisis the Indian equity market has faced in modern history. The results are not cherry-picked for benign periods.

The Numbers: Returns Across Three Timeframes

Let’s start with the headline result, and then go deeper into what the distribution looks like — because the average alone can be misleading.

Image

The pattern is unambiguous. Across every timeframe, the average return is meaningfully positive. And importantly, the longer you hold, the more the odds improve, from 70% profitable signals at 3 months to 81% at 12 months. Time is actively working in your favour.

The best single trade in the dataset was the April 2020 entry where 12-month return from that entry was an extraordinary +68.6%. The worst single trade across all periods was the February 2008 entry which eventually lost −40.2% at the 12-month mark as the global financial crisis deepened through 2008.

How Much Can You Fall After the Entry Signal?

This is the part almost nobody talks about. The entry signal fires - you buy - and then Nifty falls further. This happens more often than people expect, and ignoring it is the single biggest reason systematic strategies get abandoned mid-trade.

Across all 27 signals, the average maximum drawdown after entry (before Nifty recovered 10% from entry or 1 year passed) was −7.9%. That means on average, even after a “buy signal” is generated, you can expect to be sitting on paper losses of nearly 8% at some point before the recovery arrives.

Image

The 2008 Scenario - Why It’s the Exception That Proves the Rule

The February 2008 entry is the most extreme case in the dataset. The Bollinger Band signal fired at Nifty 4,929. It was technically correct — Nifty had closed below the lower band during the early panic of the US subprime crisis. The entry fired at 4,929 when Nifty crossed back above the band.

What followed was a once-in-a-generation catastrophe. Nifty collapsed all the way to ~2,250 - a further −54.3% from the entry price. The 12-month return from that entry was −40.2%.

This is the central lesson of this study: even a historically robust signal can coincide with a black swan event. The 2008 crisis was not foreseeable from technical analysis alone. It required a stop loss to protect capital and the discipline to act on it.

The takeaway is not to fear the signal - it’s to respect the tail risk. A stop loss below your entry protects you from the 2008 scenario while keeping you in the trade for the 81% of cases where the market eventually rewards patience.

What Should You Actually Do?

Twenty years of data distilled into four principles. These are not opinions. They are the direct output of what this study demonstrates quantitatively and unambiguously.

The Four-Rule Framework

01 Wait for the signal. Not before.

Do not try to catch a falling knife. The entry is defined - the first close above the lower Bollinger Band on the 100-day EMA. The signal exists precisely because it waits for the initial dislocation to begin healing. Patience before entry is a feature, not a flaw.

02 Always use a stop loss. Non-negotiable.

The 2008 scenario is not a theoretical risk , it happened. A certain stop loss from your entry price caps your downside in a true black swan event. It means you exit with a controlled loss, preserve capital, and live to invest another day.

03 Expect further pain after entry. Don’t panic-sell it.

The average post-entry drawdown is −7.9%. If you buy the signal and Nifty falls another 5–8%, that is entirely normal. It is the market testing your conviction. Outside of 2008, hardly any signal saw post-entry drawdowns exceed 15%. If your stop loss is at 10–12%, you have the breathing room to sit through the typical noise without being stopped out unnecessarily.

04 If you’re taking this risk, hold long enough to earn the reward.

The 3-month average is +5%. The 6-month average is +8.5%. Better. The 12-month average is +14.9% with an 81% success rate. Exceptional. This is average return actual returns can be higher also.

The entire edge of this setup is in the holding period. Traders who exit at 3 months out of impatience are capturing less than a third of the historical return. If you enter this trade, you are making a 12-month commitment — price yourself accordingly.

Image

Big falls in Nifty are not the end. They have never been the end, not in 2008, not in 2020, not in any of the 27 instances this study captures. What distinguishes the investors who come out ahead is not superior prediction - it’s superior process.

Image

Define your signal. Size your position knowing drawdowns will follow. Protect against the tail with a stop loss. And then have the discipline to hold long enough for the market to do what it has done, on average, 81% of the time: go higher.

The data says wait for the signal. Then act with conviction.

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